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Carp Diem

Rejoin EU – Carpe Diem

Here is our paper on “Rejoin EU – Why Delay is Dangerous”. Please sign our petition where you are able to download your copy for free.

Then mail your MP and other influencers. Ideally print a copy and pop in an envelope with a personal note. We know that printed letters are given more weight than e-mails. If you need a short letter to add, we have offered you one on the petition.

And / or you can also e-mail the paper. Your MP’s e-mail has the format of firstname.lastname.mp@parliament.uk so, for example, Andy Burnham is andy.burnham.mp@parliament.uk The full text of the paper follows and a QR code for sharing.

Rejoin EU – Why delay is dangerous

Executive Summary

Andy Burnham’s announcement on Rejoining the EU is welcome after years of parliamentary paralysis on Brexit.  Brexit is proven dead yet continues to kill Britain slowly across all metrics: economic, sociological, political, legal, ethical, technological and environmental.  Most politicians agree that we must Reboot Britain, in part by applying to Rejoin the EU.  However, we must begin now, and not in the mid 2030s.  Delay is dangerous for four principal reasons, expanded in this paper:

  • Business damage:  The damage from Brexit will be complete, much of it irreversible.  
  • Moral Hazard:  7-10 years of continued uncertainty provides an extended opportunity for bad actors inside and outside Britain to infect our politics. Multiple scenarios are possible across the decade.  One of the most potent is some kind of merger / acquisition between Restore and Reform or The Conservatives.
  • Business and public confidence:  Prolonged uncertainty will be catastrophic for UK  business confidence and inward investment. Whilst nobody liked the debates during the 2016 referendum, there is zero appetite for a decade of debate about Rejoin.
  • Overton Windows cleaned:  Public interest and pressure has been attenuated by parliamentary silence on Brexit and the fact that there is no coherent movement to Rejoin the EU.  Instead, the Overton window has been shifted onto the ‘offspring of Brexit’ e.g. cost of living, NHS, social care, migration and parochial / identity political issues.  All these issues have at least some roots in Brexit.

We must prepare Britain for change via a series of national conversations about ‘A Better Britain in a Better Europe for a Better World’.  We began these in 2025, and all the data is publicly available to support an application to Rejoin.  Action can come from a majority decision in Parliament, a General Election promise or a referendum.  Even senior observers on all sides point out that ‘logical incrementalism’ on Brexit, in other words, more small slow steps, will not deliver the needed growth in Britain.

Most British people now accept that Brexit has broken Britain across all the STEEPLE factors. Externally, we live in a perilous world in terms of global conflicts, security, unfettered and unregulated AI, the march of populism and ‘strong man’ leaders.  All of these add weight to the argument that we should align with our partners in Europe now.

European leaders have stated that the door is open, we could return quickly and on similar or the same terms. Caution never delivered growth.  Perilous times need reliable allies.  So, we must lead, not lag.  Brexit costs UK between 4.5 and 8% of GDP or up to £240 billion every year, or a much-needed uplift to defence, a national care service, etc.

Delay is dangerous

The risks in delaying an approach to Rejoin EU via an Article 49 letter to the 2030s are:

  • Recovering Britain’s resilience

Brexit costs Britain and its citizens between 4.5 and 8% or up to £240 BILLIONevery year. This is in line with Government predictions made before people voted for Brexit, which ranged from about 3% to an eye-watering 12% for a no deal Brexit. For comparison, it took just a 3% hit on GDP to crash UK’s economy in 2008. This itself led to a decade of austerity, which helped to swing the Brexit vote in 2016, alongside a series of false promises about zero downsides, only sunny uplands.

Whilst the business impacts have largely been incremental, they have been continuous.  Whilst larger enterprises can and have pivoted towards different markets, many have decided either not to export, to move to European bases or simply to cease trading.  Some of these decisions are one time moves.  By the mid 2030s, business damage from Brexit  will be complete, much of it irreversible.  Having undone 40 years of integration, many if not most will be reluctant or unable to switch back again.

However, this is not just an economic argument.  The book Reboot Britain outlines the impacts and opportunities right across the STEEPLE (Social, Technical, Economic, Environmental, Political, Legal and Ethical) factors.  In terms of Britain’s resilience, Brexit is rather like trying to swim the English Channel with a 20 kg block of concrete around your neck.


  • Moral Hazards from inside and afar

7-10 years of continued uncertainty provides an extended opportunity for bad actors within and outside Britain to get involved in our politics.  Since Andy Burnham’s announcement, we have already noted an upsurge of disinformation from former Vote Leave figures and in the right-wing press.  Multiple political scenarios are possible across that extended window. 

One of the most potent is some kind of merger / acquisition between Restore and Reform and / or The Conservatives.  At this point, Nigel Farage is possibly the main obstacle to Rupert Lowe’s alignment with Reform UK.  Farage is now a net vote loser for Reform UK.  Pending changes within the Conservative party, other alliances of convenience are possible.  This would be a hammer blow to a second Labour term and potentially any progressive alliances between Lib Dems, Greens etc.

Political fluidity, disruptive strategy and expediency may also affect Labour, the Lib Dems and Greens.  In short, nothing can be ruled out across such a long period.  As argued above, the time for action is now.

Over the next 7-10 years, The SNP, Sinn Fein and Plaid Cymru may also have taken steps along the road to independence.  This is itself a further validation of Brexit’s destructive impact on The United Kingdom.  We have ourselves witnessed the beginnings of the so-called Celtic alliance in the Houses of Parliament.

We know that Russia has in the past decade devoted considerable resources to disrupting the EU and the UK’s relationship to the Union. Every further year of hesitancy from the British government on the European question gives further opportunities for mischief-making to Vladimir Putin. And we know that he has potential sympathisers among the pro-Brexit wing of British politics.

  • Business and public confidence 

Prolonged uncertainty on Brexit over the next decade will be catastrophic for business confidence, staffing and inward investment. We already know that foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows dropped by 37 per cent between 2016 and 2022, as multinational companies relocated operations to the EU for single market access, and external investors diverted their cash elsewhere.  In terms of employment, agriculture, healthcare and hospitality are amongst the sectors that have all encountered labour shortages, resulting in higher operating costs while restricting output. Fishing, another key industry which voted for Brexit, and which was weaponised by Nigel Farage in 2016, has lived to regret it.

Whilst nobody liked the debates that were thrown up by the 2016 referendum, there is zero appetite for another decade long mass debate about Brexit. We are already seeing a resurgence of “Project Fear”, but this time being run by Vote Leave acolytes and far right media outlets.  This will become a new normal and thus the longer we delay the decision to apply to Rejoin, the more toxic the narrative will become.

By opening the conversation now, Andy Burnham may well find that Brexit becomes a long-term malignant tumour in public discourse.  Without surgical removal, it may claim further victims, having taken the heads of six Prime Ministers in ten years through its cancerous effects.  Brexit has literally consumed all its offspring.  It is a matter of time before it claims another scalp … This gruesome graphic sums up the grim reality.

  • Overton windows cleaned

There is no appreciable or sizeable movement to Rejoin the EU in 2026, given the fragmentation of the various Rejoin movements (akin to Indonesia – 17 000 islands, many unoccupied and a few bigger ones who compete for the hearts, minds and bank balances of their followers}.  There is no reason to suppose it would be any bigger or better by the mid 2030s.

There is also a complete lack of agreement amidst the various ‘islands’ on both ends (what is the destination?) and means of reaching the destination (the journey).  We are dealing with what is often characterised as a wicked problem.   If a series of national conversations are to be held on the topic of ‘A Better Britain in a Better Europe for a Better World’, it will need skilful leadership to achieve the required levels of convergence for a more United Kingdom.  We have already offered such support  on the Organisation Development (OD) disciplines and large-scale event design implications of this (Open Space Tech etc) to various MPs in this regard.

Public pressure on Brexit and Europe has also been attenuated by parliamentary silence on the matter, e.g. in the 2024 General Election.  The Overton window has moved towards the ‘offspring’ of Brexit e.g. cost of living, NHS, social care, migration and parochial / identity political issues.  All have their roots in Brexit, as this multiple cause and effect model shows.  A properly designed national conversation would bring Brexit back into a controlled and civil dialogue about the issues that matter to people, politicians and politics.

Professor Sir John Curtice stated that public opinion had shifted despite a relative silence from many parties and “therefore, if you were to start to make the argument … you should be able to move the dial further”.  He warned of the dangers of delay as the salience of Brexit declines in public consciousness.  Once an Overton Window has been ‘cleansed’ it is very unlikely that the same issues will appear in it again … unless done in deliberate and controlled manner.

Summary

in summary, Britain has fared badly, post Brexit. Brexit has damaged our economy, split the UK and its component parts and reduced us to a minor player on the teetering edge of a significant political entity, this at a time of enormous socio-economic pressure from America, Russia and the Far East. It is estimated that we are losing 4.5-8% of our annual GDP.  This looks set continue under the last two years of a Trump Presidency as it may turn to easier targets outside the USA, whilst the Democrats naturally focus on the domestic agenda.

The current British government has indicated a willingness to consider the issue of rejoining Europe in some form, but so far has not indicated any urgency in the matter. The lack of urgency is counter-productive, as further delay will only harden the damage already caused to our ability to create growth and put the UK back on track as a successful and prosperous country.

The UK Labour government currently has an enormous majority in Parliament and could take the necessary action of a unilateral nature.  Inaction presents a clear and present danger to the UK and its standing in the world.

Recommendation

That this paper is submitted to all progressive MPs and political thinkers, emphasising the urgency of a move to rejoin Europe and the European Union.

We are available to assist with the formulation of a strategy and event designs to deliver a national conversation about a Better Britain in a Better Europe for a Better World across a period of 3-6 months, starting in 2017.

Peter Cook – Reboot Britain.

Greg Newman.

Colonel Terence Knott – President, Amicale Europe Pays de Fayence.

November 16th, 2026

Branson Line Up Shot

Wannabe?

Wannabe or seriously fun contender? You decide. Our latest post on Substack. Please subscribe and share.

Substack – Head of Yes at Virgin

Compared with the usual suspects I believe I am uniquely qualified for this job. Importantly I’d use the £75 000 wage to supercharge our efforts to Reboot Britain.

  • Entrepreneur of 32 years standing focusing on leadership, innovation and creativity.
  • Excellent content creator focusing on astonishing people and the art of storytelling.
  • Virgin Prize winner and author of book for Bloomsbury with Richard Branson’s input via an interview
  • Mature but alive and kicking! I bring considerable experience, wisdom and depth to the position
  • I fully understand the Virgin ethos having volunteered for them for 3 years.
  • Considerable international experience.
  • I am a very skilled interviewer.
  • I plan to use the money to help build a better Britain in a better Europe for a better World through influencing our political leaders of all colours.

Brexit Begat Boats and Racism

It’s a kind of magic …

I was told by my MP that Andy Burnham was a magician and that if we got rid of Keir Starmer, all would be well with Brexit. Turns out she was wrong and we have merely continued down the road of the Fabian Society / Logical Incrementalism. I was called up by Dubai TV to explain more last week and made a full film on my thoughts, as, inevitably a TV piece gets cut to a few soundbites. Let’s see the Burnham magic applied, not continuity Starmer.

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That said, the Remain movement have not changed their spots. We have Jon Danzig proclaiming that we cannot contemplate Rejoin until we have aligned all the political parties in that vision. I cannot recall a time when that has ever happened, including on the vexed question of whether water is wet …

And Niall Ó Conghaile also subscribes to the “Catholic” view that we have not atoned suffciently for our Brexit sins yet. Of course, cakeism is a problem with the “Rule Britannia” outlook of some Rejoiners, but this does not mean we should not apply to Rejoin the EU as a priority.

Champion fence sitter, and friend of Lord David Frost, Prof Anand Menon is also saying that support for Rejoining drops away when you factor the Euro and Schengen into the picture. All such things are above his pay grade in so far that he is not at the negotiating table. The conversation to Rejoin will be a series of trade offs and NONE of us will be at the table. It’s both stupid and presumptuous to factor all the obstacles to progress in at the beginning. Academics can only tell you about things as they are and give some history lessons. They know nothing about the impact of leadership on the Overton Window. Our only job is to create the political momentum to apply to Rejoin as an urgent priority, NOT to imagine that we are at the negotiating table. No wonder Remain lost three times (two elections and a referendum). We are still gold plating the strategy that lost.

With people like this in our corner, who needs enemies? I wrote about the OD (Organisation Development) problems of Remain / Rejoin some years ago under Indonesia. I’m disappointed to report that this is a hardy perennial, needing radical treatment. I’m available for hire if the various big islands of Indonesia need some group therapy although somewhat doubtful that they will take me up on my offer.

Here’s the Dubai TV piece.

Join us on Wed 28 October at 8pm – 8.45pm on ZOOM for a social gathering cum next steps dialogue with like minded people from across Europe. Put the date in your diary NOW, Connect to us on all platforms via Linktree.

I

Flagshagging

Does Labour deserve Reform UK?

In the wake of a humungous £76 Million donation to Nigel Farage’s company Reform UK, after Keir Starmer was forced to step back from applying a cap on political donations of between £100 000 – £300 000 by his own party, I ask the question, does Britain deserve Reform UK? I say this in a slightly tongue in cheek way, yet Labour continue to have Nigel Farage living rent free in their heads, with key figures such as Shabana Mahmood appeasing Brexit accelerated racism. Andy Burnham has recently stifled dialogue on the Brexit Red Lines at the Labour party conference, having only months ago been cast as someone who could “walk on water”. It rather seems that quieter British voters’ voices are ignored in favour of thugs and criminals in balaclavas who Labour hope to convert into voters (0% chance btw). I’m left wondering if the worms will turn? … or whether the horse has now bolted? (choose your own metaphor). In this article I ask the awkward question Does Labour deserve Reform UK?

Does Labour deserve Reform UK?

In 2019, I advocated that Britain should have the hardest Brexit as a kind of “clinical trial”, perhaps for a limited period of 6 months. Of course I was vilified by Remainers, who insisted that we must have a soft Brexit at all costs. Remainers are predominantly risk averse. It turned out that I was right. In conversation with Michel Barnier, he pointed out that there never was such a thing as a soft Brexit. The Remainers were sold the idea of a soft Brexit in order to shut them up. But nothing would have persuaded the Brexiteers of the folly of Brexit better than letting them have 6 months of chaos under a 12% GDP loss, with a “Full Fat Brexit”. Ho hum. The past is prologue.

Complexity confounds causation

Instead, we entered Michael Gove’s world of “Brexit bumps in the road”. Some of the bumps were potholes, others chasms. COVID came at just the right time for Boris Johnson and most people were pretty much unable to trace Brexit as a root cause of their lived experience, due to multiple causation and complexity (see the Brexit iceberg). This is increasingly so, now that we are nearly six years on from the decision. The further we get away from the decision the more causation becomes problematic unless you study the form carefully.

The perils of being reasonable

Labour have systematically ignored the quiet moderates including 70% in their own party. They may as well have formed a cartel with the Tories in 2024 to ensure that Brexit was not expressed as an election issue. Both Starmer and “Continuity Starmer” aka Andy Burnham have stuck rigidly to the Brexit red lines, in spite of compelling evidence that Britain cannot hope to deliver growth in every postcode by 2029 without ending Brexit as an immediate priority.

Watch this film by Truth to Power, which explains the peril of being led by an angry minority. In 628 of 632 seats the clear preference of voters is to Rejoin. The four outliers are the seats of NF, 30 p Lee, Rupert Lowe Life and Richard Lice and even in these constitiencies, the first choice of voters is “Don’t know”. Burnham ignores this at his peril.

Timewasting

Labour have also wasted two years avoiding Brexit and there may not now be enough time to see benefits coming through from an application to Rejoin the EU by 2029. Every time an opportunity arises the Remainers often kill it dead by saying things like “Now is not the time” and other bs. I sometimes wonder if they are batting for the other side.

Only the cat is a good excuse …

A Labour Brexit

Andy Burnham is not responsible for Brexit. But he and his Government ARE responsible for letting it continue to ruin lives and livelihoods. Objectively, this is therefore now a LABOUR BREXIT. Burnham must deal with it by applying to Rejoin NOW, NOT at the next election. Brexit costs up to £240 bn EVERY year, money which would go a long way to building a better Britain.

Brexit Betrayal

Labour seem to forget that betrayal is remembered better than support in terms of voting behaviour. I have given up with trying to persuade Labour to change course as they appear to even ignore their members. Instead I will now do everything in my power to ensure that Labour does not win a second term. You may well disagree with me and are welcome to do so, but the twisted logic runs something like this:

Twisted logic for Hard Brexit Labour

Labour’s Brexit is clearly not bad enough for Burnham to make a U turn … Stuart Budd wisely observes the pattern here:

Does Labour deserve Reform UK?

Burnham’s honeymoon period is over and he has nailed his colours to the mast as “Continuity Starmer”. Lest he forget, Brexit consumes all its offspring … six PMs and counting …

And voting is an irrational behaviour, as proved by the 2016 Brexit referendum when people voted against their best interests. It seems that this is the only behaviour that the large parties understand.

So, should I vote for Reform UK (against my values)? I’m fully aware that this would mean ensure that we get the most awful Brexit available. It may be the only thing that causes the other parties to learn to lead.

If that’s too extreme, how do we guarantee a hung parliament in 2029 or possibly before?

Lecter
Brexit consumes all its offspring … Will Burnham be next?
NF Promises v Reality

Reasons to be helpless

I spend a lot of time on social media listening to earnest Remainers and Rejoiners. They are all good people and mean well. They mostly don’t want to upset others and that’s a strength.  But it also has a serious downside.  I remind them (often with social disapproval) that we, the Remainers, lost three elections and a referendum by being nice and playing fair. Before you jump to any conclusions, I’m not suggesting that we should be horrible or play unfair here. But we must better the far-right rather than copying them or, worse still, amplifying their cause by sharing their stuff with disgust. I regularly hear these excuses for doing nothing about Rejoining the EU. They are all invalid, bar the last one.

Things people say include “If we or Labour mention Rejoin, Nigel will get elected” and “The Daily Mail won’t like it/me/us“. Organising your strategy by constantly being in response mode to Nigel Farage is rather like trying to drive a car by constantly looking through the rear view mirror. The Daily Mail et al. don’t like anything that Keir Starmer’s Government do and they react just as strongly to the miniscule items (e.g. a youth mobility scheme) as the big ones (e.g. rejoining the EU). Might as well be hung for a sheep than a lamb … in accountancy terms, Starmer’s outlook on the EU is a sunk cost as it is well known that he believes that Brexit was a mistake. The ’embedded commands’ of the Remainers typically come wrapped in statements like this:


“Keir is still a remainer at heart, he just needs to be cautious“.

“We must avoid pandering to the metropolitan liberal elite as the Far Right media will slaughter us”.

“We can “make Brexit work” without rejoining anything“.

“We only have to worry about the red wall as liberal minded pro-Europeans will always vote for us“. Just a reminder, the red wall did not vote for Labour in 2024. Labour have a job of mass Brexorcism to do with this group.

“Ultra-Remainers”, the “rejoin or nothing brigade” are naïve and deluded“. Read our White Paper and mail it to MPs, influencers and media people. Brexit isn’t working. It can never work.

Respectfully, I say, horseshit. I realise this gets me the reputation of being the Nigel Farage of Remain, but the truth hurts.

Lord of the lies.
GB News

Things this group of people say include “We must wait until 2035. Keir is playing the long game“, “Brexit is done“. Strangely, the farmer’s wife Liz Webster says this on BBC Radio 4 in order to pursue her farmers before Brexit agenda alongside Farage and Clarkson. Given her media reach, it is a dangerous and incorrect narrative. I know that Jon Danzig falls into this category as well, along with some of the larger so called Remainer groups such as The European Movement. Given their reach, all this does is feed people “learned helplessness”. As ex MEP Michael Hindley says, we need to be in the business of installing a sense of hope in the Rejoin community.

Learned Helplessness
Learned Helplessness

Other objections relate to flawed ideas about democracy: “It would be anti-democratic to Rejoin“. “We would need another referendum“. All these objections are addressed in the White Paper.

Perhaps due to 8 years of psychic bullying by Johnson, Mogg, Braverman, Truss, Farage, Jenrick, Badenoch et al, Remainers are happy to accept ‘crumbs from the table’. Yet these will not deal with the underlying problems of Brexit. They say things like this, often believing that if we make a small ask (a) The Daily Excess won’t notice it (THEY DO) and (b) that this will lead to rejoining by stealth. They seem to forget that journalists notice if Keir Starmer wears new socks, let alone if he sends people to Brussels for ‘talks’. Here are some of the increments they mention:

“No, we must get carnets for musicians“.

“No, we must back the farmers“.

“No to rejoin, we must join the Single Market“.

“No, we must restore Freedom of Movement for young people“

We address the problem of logical incrementalism in the White Paper. Expect better!!

Without ever producing a Gantt chart or analysis of strategy or politics, I find that people have many different ‘orders and sequences’ as to what is the right way to go about Rejoining the EU. This itself is a function of the lack of leadership and strategy from the movement as a whole and our ‘Indonesian’ organisation structure. Things like:

“We must fight Elon Musk first“.

“We must get the economy back on track first“.

“We must get democratic reform first“.

“We need to tackle the ‘bread and butter’ issues in Britain first“.
All are dealt with in the paper. Download it. There are as many formulations of what we should or must do about Brexit as there are protagonist. I call it ‘musturbation’.

“It’s Sunday. We can’t ask to Rejoin on a Sunday. Or any other day ...”

“We (I) will look silly if the EU say no“.

“I’m quite busy this year … and the next ...”

“The month has an R in it“.

“Nobody’s interested in the EU anymore“.
“The EU don’t want us back“.
“We can “make Brexit work” without rejoining anything“.
“We can’t do it as it would mean Schengen and the Euro“.
“Cameron told us it was a “once in a generation decision” so we have to wait another 20 years“.

“The cat died“. That’s clearly the best excuse !!

With thanks to Paul Cawthorne for his help with this. Please read our White Paper and sign the petition.

Brexit resilence concrete
Brexit resilence concrete

IZAL Brexshit

Flush Brexit

I listened to a retrospective on Izal Toilet paper the other day on The BBC’s “Sliced Bread – Toast”. It was fascinating in its own right, not least because I used to buy boxes of product on the internet to use in creativity programmes for corporate executives. But it was to the Brexit connections that I was drawn. Let me summarise some of the key points from the programme.

Izal Medicated Toilet Paper was invented by accident in 1885 after they noticed that one of the by-products of coal processing had antiseptic qualities. Izal disinfectant was eventually followed by Izal toilet paper. It was positioned as the only safe way to protect yourself against bum germs. Izal claimed to help prevent influenza, typhus, even malaria, having been launched shortly after the Spanish Flu outbreak in the 1920s. Sadly, the claims made about the product’s efficacy were completely false, based on the disinfectant rather than the toilet paper. I was reminded of Boris and Nigel’s claims about Brexit, which have been shown to be completely false.

Interestingly the programme plotted the steady decline of Izal as a brand, following the advent of soft toilet paper in the 1950s. People literally stuck to Izal in the face of the carbolic smell, the fact that the shit slid off the paper onto your fingers and the bum cuts that resulted from this unyielding product. Some preferred to use newspaper to wipe their anuses or ani. In Yorkshire there was resistence to toilet tissue, based on the fact that some Yorkshire men felt that softness was seen as a bit ‘gay’ (used in its modern context here). However more cosmopolitan wipers in London adopted the soft tissue product. Much the same as Brexit really with more countrified areas voting for Brexit and cities rejecting it. Johnson and Farage projected an alpha male view onto the softer minds in British society of “taking back control” and “avenging forin invaders”. It’s all so transparent and false at the same time.

Izal limped on however. A Government commission even concluded that Izal must continue to be used in all public places, forgetting to mention that the main reason for this was that nobody wanted to steal it. Izal continued to be popular with an older demographic who preferred to cut their arses, have shit on their fingers and smell like Jeyes Fluid rather than clean up. The Brexit mind is similar, in so far that people want things to be like they were, a golden age of the 1950’s where men were men, typhoid made a man of you, women were quiet, pints were in straight glasses Winston cigarettes made you cool and so on. The Raise the Colours idiots exemplify this faux nostalgia,

The Brexit Psyche
The Brexit Psyche

In conclusion “Hanging on in quiet desperation is the English way” … Pink Floyd.

Postscript : “IZAL was nearly as slippery as Farage”. Grumpy Mirror Pensioner

Once in a lifetime

Once in a lifetime


Once in a lifetime you get a chance to do something amazing. If you do one thing today, watch this film interview. Yes, it’s long but it’s vital.

For most of you, you can help by sharing this post and the videos that accompany it. Find them at at EU TUBE.

For those of you who live in Clacton, Vote Serious : Vote for The Rejoin EU Party on Thursday 13th August – to break the Parliamentary Paralysis. Bin the Bin and vote to “take back control” of Britain.

If you only have a minute, watch this one minute trailer and share widely:

XTC

We’re only making plans for Nigel …

I have visited Clacton twice in the run up to the by-election aka proxy self-proclaimed referendum on Nigel Farage’s integrity. This election will cost £250 000, money which will not go towards the improvement of the lot of the residents. The ballot paper is also four times the cost of a normal election as it resembles an unravelling roll of toilet paper. Anyway, on with the basics. I spoke with over 100 people, mostly residents but also some interested spectators. Watch the video series here:

Headline findings

Street Research Clacton – KEY FINDINGS

I spoke with nearly 100 people, mostly Clacton residents.

I found just two people who will vote for Nigel, come what may.

I found a much larger group of people (15-20) who said that they will not vote for Nigel this time. Reasons given in priority order were 1. The election is unnecessary.  2. The election costs the earth while we have to pay for it.  3. NF never comes here.  4. His expenses scandal has opened my eyes – He’s not a man of the people.

Another large group said that they would not vote at all.  Others had looked at the postal voting ballot paper and put it to one side for now.  Voter suppression may be the outcome.

Relatively few people knew about Count Binface CB (a lot of Clacton residents do not use social media that much).  Those that do know about CB felt that he was laughing at them … in other words the joke was on the people of Clacton rather than the absolute waste of an election.  No one I spoke to was definitely going to vote for CB.

No one had heard of the serious candidate standing – John Stevens, Rejoin Party.  One person confused him with Kai Stephens, who appears to think that Hitler was a bit soft …

Many people were scared to go on video. I had a long conversation with a retired Engineer over breakfast who lived in Jaywick, had voted to Remain but was surrounded by what he called imbeciles, some of them nasty.

People in Clacton claim that there is no serious candidate standing. That’s not true. See John Stevens, a former Conservative MEP who beat Farage in 2010 and who is the ONLY serious candidate standing in this farce of an election. It’s completely safe to vote for John as he is not a competitor for the comedy vote.

And finally …

Nigel loves a good laugh, so we thought we’d join in with the fun. The yolk’s on you Nigel !!

Burnham Bounce

The Farage Fall and The Burnham Bounce

I rarely base my predictions in politics on hope. After all, I have often said, hope is not a strategy. Even Gina Miller now says it after I worked for her as her Campaign Manager before I found out that she counts Richard Tice and Isabel Oakeshott as ‘besties’! I have however been musing upon various possible political scenarios in the short term, i.e. Farage’s Fall colliding with the Burnham Bounce and Brexit decline. There are a lot of ifs in this scenario, but hear me out. With thanks to Greg Newman for the snappy title and wise inputs.

Many moving parts are coming together in NFs faulty decision to call a referendum on his integrity via the Clacton by-election. It is feasible that NF could be badly damaged by the various parties standing against him. We are there to make sure this happens. We are the only serious party standing in Clacton and are already inflicting serious damage on the NF brand. See Bin Brexit. Regardless of this, NF will continue to face scrutiny over the £5 million “donation” and many other legal challenges in the coming months. His star appears to be receding. We know that once people lose faith, the only way is down. There have been relatively few phoenix-like rises from the ashes in politics, with Churchill, Wilson and Trump being notable exceptions.

There are already signs of a Burnham Bounce and we are only a week into his premiership. If only because the Labour Party have rallied round him out of guilt over their decision to assassinate Keir Starmer before his decisions fed through to people’s lived experiences. Burnham will undoubtedly benefit from Starmer’s legacy. But we live in a world where people expect instant results on complex issues. The real questions are how big the Burnham Bounce will be and, even more importantly, how long will the Burnham Bounce last?

Andy began his premiership with a series of outlandish promises. These are unlikely to survive contact with real life, unless … He either inflicts a lot of pain on the electorate via taxation and borrowing, or confronts the elephant in the room aka Brexit. Brexit costs Britain £240 bn pa, £93 bn of which we could recover by applying to Rejoin the EU. Unlike Keir Starmer, it is unlikely that Burnham’s honeymoon period will be two years. It will more likely be measured in months. Burnham also has no mandate from the people to vary the Labour manifesto. This presents an intriguing scenario which I’ve called Crossing the Chasm or “Supersonic” – minor nod to the Gallagher brothers.

Let’s suppose that Farage’s star continues to fall. Let’s also suppose that Burnham calculates that his bounce will be short lived and that “peak Burnham” is probably autumn / winter 2026. He could go to the nation to call a general election using his honesty platform by saying :

“Look, I know I was not elected by the people of Britain and I promised I will do things differently. I need your mandate to go forward to fund the great changes we plan to make. Not by making your lives harder, but by seizing the opportunities for sustainable growth. I need your approval to build a better Britain in a better Europe for a better World. We’ll do this by ending our toxic relationship with Brexit, cutting the red lines that are costing us hundreds of billions every year and seizing the opportunities that can come from a Reformed relationship with Europe”. He might even channel Oasis by saying “Don’t look back in anger” 🙂

Andy would offer a simple manifesto promise to apply to Rejoin without another toxic referendum, capitalising on people’s acceptance that Brexit has been an unmitigated disaster, also avoiding people’s aversion to another national psychodrama by wrapping it into an election.

Critics will say “Theresa May”. In fact one senior Labour member friend of mine has already said that, putting party before country. This, of course, is how we got into ths mess. My tongue in cheek reply is in green below. I could not help quoting the band “Journey” !! 🙂 I understand his point of loyalty, after all that is what parties and party members do, but without radical actions to match radical words, I fear that the Burnham Bounce will be short lived. Andy would be living the value of improving democracy by asking the nation to back him. Labour has already adopted the process we started in Somerset, for a national conversation about a better Britain. Burnham would be seen as not falling into the oft quoted trap of “They’re all the same”.

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Illogical Politics

Illogical Politics

Illogical Politics is the brainchild of a friend. He uses satire to unseat the lies of far right politicians such as Reform, Restore, UKIP, Advance, Raise the Standard, Logical Politics, The Heritage Party, The EDL / BNP / National Front (aka Tommy Robinson aka Stephen Yaxley Lennon) et al. Written in the spirit of “Private Eyelines” which we pioneered in 2020, the posts cut through in ways that graphs and spreadsheets do not. Here’s an example article:

Illogical Politics
Illogical Politics

BAN NUANCE

The metropolitan elite have activated their newest weapon against the hardworking British public: “Nuance.”

Whenever we demand absolute, immediate, three-word solutions to incredibly complex, centuries-old geopolitical and economic crises, the so-called “experts” immediately start droning on about “grey areas,” “underlying socio-economic factors,” and “unintended consequences.”

Let us be brutally honest.

Real patriotism is entirely binary.

It is black and white.

Good and evil.

Us and them.

“Nuance” is just a woke liberal buzzword for “I don’t love my country enough to blindly yell about it.”

The Danger of ‘Understanding Both Sides’:

The establishment wants to pacify us by suggesting that major global issues require careful consideration and delicate diplomacy.

This is an insult to our intelligence.

We do not want carefully weighed options; we want a scapegoat and a catchy rhyming chant.

Here is our official blueprint for completely eradicating nuance from the national conversation:

The Three-Word Maximum:

If a government policy cannot be entirely summarised by three aggressive words shouted over the noise of a pub fruit machine, it is a globalist trap.

“GET IT DONE.”

“STOP THE THING.”

“DO THE STUFF.”


Anything longer than this is basically an academic thesis and must be rejected at the ballot box.

Context is Censorship:

When a politician claims their disastrous quote was “taken out of context,” what they actually mean is “I am furious that you aren’t listening to my boring, 20-minute explanation.”

We assert our sovereign right to react purely to the most inflammatory six words of a headline without reading the article.

Abolish the ‘Grey Area’:

Grey is the colour of cloudy skies, depressing concrete, and Brussels bureaucracy.

There are no grey areas in common sense.

You are either entirely right (us) or actively trying to destroy the very fabric of society (anyone who disagrees with us).

The Beer Mat Standard:

We will formally replace the Civil Service with a stack of damp cardboard beer mats.

If an international trade agreement or a comprehensive healthcare reform strategy cannot fit legibly on a single mat, we simply tear it up and default to World Trade Organisation rules.

Defend Your Right to Simplicity:

The tofu-eating, Guardian-reading intelligentsia want you wasting your weekends reading complex policy papers and “considering the historical context.”

Do not fall into their intellectual traps.

They want to dilute your pure, unyielding anger with highly inconvenient facts.

We demand leaders who refuse to understand the details.

We demand absolute certainty in the face of overwhelming contradictory evidence.

Say NO to nuance.

Say NO to reading past the headline.

Stay loud, stay simple, and let’s just get on with it! 🇬🇧🔥

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Private-Eyelines
Private Eyelines
Reboot Britain : Rejoin EU
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